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194 real negative results, null findings, and replication failures in Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Negative / Null Result Report. Search the index →

WASTE indexes published research — it does not host or republish full papers. Each entry is a metadata record compiled from open scholarly databases; the abstract is shown in full only where the paper is openly licensed, otherwise a short excerpt under fair use. Classifications are automated and approximate.

Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

The Economics of the Fed Put

Anna Cieślak, Annette Vissing‐Jørgensen · 2020 · Review of Financial Studies

Abstract Since the mid-1990s, negative stock returns comove with downgrades to the Fed’s growth expectations and predict policy accommodations. Textual analysis of FOMC documents reveals that policy makers pay attention to the stock…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Dynamic complementarities in innovation strategies

James H. Love, Stephen Roper, Priit Vahter · 2014 · Research Policy

Using a panel of Irish manufacturing plants over the period 1991–2008 we test for dynamic complementarities in the joint use of internal R&D and external knowledge sources. We find little evidence, either from considering successive cross-sectional waves of comparable surveys, or in terms of the strategy switch choices of specific plants, that there has been a systematic move towards the joint use of internal and external knowledge in innovation. We then test formally for the presence of complementarities in the joint use of internal R&D and external innovation linkages. In static terms we fin

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Effects of oil spills on fish production in the Niger Delta

Eze Simpson Osuagwu, Eseoghene Olaifa · 2018 · PLoS ONE

The Niger Delta region is the oil producing area of Nigeria, which consists of highly diverse ecosystems that are supportive of numerous species of terrestrial and aquatic fauna and flora. Crude oil spills endanger fish hatcheries in coastal water and also contaminate valuable fish. This study examines the effects of oil spills on fish production in the Niger Delta of Nigeria from 1981-2015 using an estimable Cobb Douglas production function. The findings suggest that oil production and spills negatively affect fish production, while farm labour has a positive effect on fish production. On the

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Current Account ‘Core–Periphery Dualism’ in the EMU

Roberta De Santis, Tatiana Cesaroni · 2016 · World Economy

Abstract Current account ( CA ) dispersion within European Union ( EU ) Member States has been increasing progressively since the 1990s. Interestingly, the persistent deficits in many peripheral countries have not been accompanied by a…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Testing for Asymmetric Information Using “Unused Observables” in Insurance Markets: Evidence from the U.K. Annuity Market

Amy Finkelstein, James M. Poterba · 2014 · Journal of Risk & Insurance

Abstract This article tests for asymmetric information in the U.K. annuity market of the 1990s by trying to identify “unused observables,” attributes of individual insurance buyers that are correlated both with subsequent claims experience…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

The relationship between real GDP, CO 2 emissions, and energy use in the GCC countries: A time series approach

Cosimo Magazzino · 2016 · Cogent Economics & Finance

This paper examines the relationship among real GDP, CO2 emissions, and energy use in the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Using annual data for the years 1960–2013, stationarity, structural breaks, and cointegration tests have been conducted. The empirical evidence strongly supports the presence of unit roots. Cointegration tests reveal the existence of a clear long-run relationship only for Oman. Granger causality analysis shows that for three GCC countries (Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar) the predominance of the “growth hypothesis” emerges, since energy use drives the real GDP. Moreov

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Impact of Monetary Policy on Economic Growth: A Case Study of South Africa

Chipote Precious · 2014 · Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences

This paper explores the role played by monetary policy in promoting economic growth in the South African economy over the period 2000-2010. The study employs the Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Phillips Perron unit root tests to test for…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Renewable energy and population growth for sustainable development in the Southeast Asian countries

Duc Hong Vo, Anh The Vo · 2021 · Energy Sustainability and Society

Abstract The energy–environment–growth nexus has been examined for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region, mainly using time series data. However, the important role of renewable energy and population has largely been ignored in previous studies. As such, this study is conducted to investigate a causal link between renewable energy usage, population, carbon dioxide emissions, and economic growth. In addition, a relatively new and advanced panel vector autoregressive model and the Granger non-causality test for heterogeneous panels are utilized with a sample of seven ASEAN co

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Tax Composition and Growth: A Broad Cross-Country Perspective

Santiago Acosta Ormaechea, Jiae Yoo, SAcosta Ormaechea@imf.org et al. · 2012 · IMF Working Paper

We investigate the relation between changes in tax composition and long-run economic growth using a new dataset covering a broad cross-section of countries with different income levels. We specifically consider 69 countries with at least…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

The untapped potential of preferential trade agreements for climate governance

Jean‐Frédéric Morin, Sikina Jinnah · 2018 · Environmental Politics

The regulatory contribution that preferential trade agreements (PTAs) make to global climate governance is assessed through an analysis of climate-related provisions found in 688 PTAs signed between 1947 and 2016. Provisions are analyzed…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Return and volatility spillover across equity markets between China and Southeast Asian countries

Ngô Thái Hưng · 2019 · Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science

Purpose This paper aims to study the daily returns and volatility spillover effects in common stock prices between China and four countries in Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia). Design/methodology/approach The analysis uses a vector autoregression with a bivariate GARCH-BEKK model to capture return linkage and volatility transmission spanning the period including the pre- and post-2008 Global Financial Crisis. Findings The main empirical result is that the volatility of the Chinese market has had a significant impact on the other markets in the data sample. For the sto

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Assessing the Causes of Capital Account Liberalization: How Measurement Matters1

Sebastian Karcher, David A. Steinberg · 2012 · International Studies Quarterly

Why do countries open their economies to global capital markets? A number of recent articles have found that two types of factors encourage politicians to liberalize their capital accounts: strong macroeconomic fundamentals and political…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Government Expenditure And National Income: Causality Tests For Five South East Asian Countries

Ergün Doğan, Tuck Cheong Tang · 2011 · International Business & Economics Research Journal (IBER)

This study aims to determine the direction of causality between national income and government expenditures for Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. Granger causality tests are used to investigate the causal links…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

An empirical examination of the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis for carbon dioxide emissions in Ghana: an ARDL approach

Daniel Kwabena Twerefou, Frank Adusah‐Poku, William Bekoe · 2016 · Environmental & Socio-economic Studies

Abstract The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis postulates an inverted U-shaped relationship between different pollutants and economic growth. In Ghana, as in many other developing countries, there exist scanty studies that confirm or otherwise the EKC hypothesis with regards to CO 2 emissions as well as the factors that drive CO 2 emissions. This work aims to bridge this knowledge gap by addressing these two major questions using data from 1970 to 2010 and the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds Testing approach. The results rather suggest a U-shaped relationship between p

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Negative / Null Result ReportEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Complex Securities and Underwriter Reputation: Do Reputable Underwriters Produce Better Securities?

John M. Griffin, Richard Lowery, Alessio Saretto · 2014 · Review of Financial Studies

Conventional wisdom suggests that high-reputation banks will generally produce good securities to maintain their long-run reputation. We show with a simple model that, when securities are complex a high-reputation bank may produce assets…

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Negative / Null Result ReportEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Significant Differences in Drug Lag in Clinical Development Among Various Strategies Used for Regulatory Submissions in Japan

Takeshi Ueno, Yasuko Asahina, Akio Tanaka et al. · 2013 · Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics

Although the number of global clinical trials (GCTs) conducted in multiple countries including Japan has increased recently, it is not clear how much these GCTs help in reducing the lag in drug development (LDD: difference between the…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Modeling Exchange Rate Volatility: Application of the GARCH and EGARCH Models

Manamba Epaphra · 2017 · Journal of Mathematical Finance

Policy makers need accurate forecasts about future values of exchange rates. This is due to the fact that exchange rate volatility is a useful measure of uncertainty about the economic environment of a country. This paper applies univariate nonlinear time series analysis to the daily (TZS/USD) exchange rate data spanning from January 4, 2009 to July 27, 2015 to examine the behavior of exchange rate in Tanzania. To capture the symmetry effect in exchange rate data, the paper applies both ARCH and GARCH models. Also, the paper employs exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model to capture the asymmetry in

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Financial Inclusion, Bank Competitiveness and Credit Risk of Commercial Banks in Kenya

Salome Musau, Stephen Muathe, Lucy Wamugo · 2017 · International Journal of Financial Research

This paper provides an empirical analysis of the synergies and trade-offs between financial inclusion and credit risk of commercial banks in Kenya. The paper analyzed the effect of financial inclusion on credit risk and the mediation effect of bank competitiveness of commercial banks in Kenya. Financial inclusion was measured using three dimensions of bank availability, bank accessibility and bank usage, bank competitiveness used (HHI) while credit risk was represented by the non performing loans ratio. The study was anchored on financial intermediation theory supported by finance growth theor

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Does Trade Openness Promote Carbon Emissions? Empirical Evidence from Sri Lanka

Athula Naranpanawa · 2011 · Griffith Research Online (Griffith University, Queensland, Australia)

Abstract: The link between trade openness and environmental quality has become one of the most debated topics in recent years. Yet, limited empirical investigations have been carried out in this area. This paper examines the relationship…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Is causality between globalization and energy consumption bidirectional or unidirectional in top and bottom globalized economies?

Muhammad Shahbaz, Mehmet Balcılar, Mantu Kumar Mahalik et al. · 2021 · International Journal of Finance & Economics

Abstract By using quarterly data over the period 1970Q1‐2017Q4, this paper examines the dynamic causal relationship between globalization and energy consumption by using rolling and recursive rolling Granger causality methods. This study…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Oil Prices and Real Exchange Rates in Oil-Exporting Countries: A Bounds Testing Approach

Mohammad R. Jahan‐Parvar, Hassan Mohammadi · 2011 · ˜The œJournal of developing areas

We test the validity of the Dutch disease hypothesis by examining the relationship between real oil prices and real exchange rates in a sample of fourteen oil exporting countries. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds tests of…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

An Analysis of Factors Affecting the Performance of Insurance Companies in Zimbabwe

Batsirai Winmore Mazviona, T Sakahuhwa, M Dube · 2017 · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics

The study sought to examine factors affecting the performance of insurance companies in Zimbabwe. We utilized secondary data from twenty short-term insurance companies. The data was for the period from 2010 to 2014. We used factor analysis and multiple linear regression models to determine the factors affecting performance and identifying their impact. Our findings revealed that expense ratio, claims ratio and the size of a company significantly affect insurance companies’ performance negatively. Whilst leverage and liquidity affect performance positively. We recommend that insurance companies

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND THE SOURCES OF GROWTH AND CONVERGENCE*

Oleg Badunenko, Diego Romero‐Ávila · 2013 · International Economic Review

We extend the deterministic, nonparametric production frontier framework by incorporating financial development. Our analysis convincingly shows that (1) failure to account for financial development overstates the role of physical capital…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Return and Volatility Spillovers across Equity Markets in Mainland China, Hong Kong and the United States

Hassan Mohammadi, Yuting Tan · 2015 · Econometrics

Examinations of the dynamics of daily returns and volatility in stock markets of the U.S., Hong Kong and mainland China (Shanghai and Shenzhen) over 2 January 2001 to 8 February 2013 suggest: (1) evidence of unidirectional return spillovers from the U.S. to the other three markets; but no spillover between Hong Kong and either of the two mainland China markets; (2) evidence of unidirectional ARCH and GARCH effects from the U.S. to the other three markets; (3) correlations of returns vary across markets, with the highest correlation of 93.5% between the two Chinese markets, medium correlation o

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

To Investigation the Relationship between Monetary, Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth in Iran: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach to Cointegration

Anvar Khosravi · 2010 · American Journal of Applied Sciences

Problem statement: It is important for policy makers to find affect of monetary and fiscal policy on economic growth and to know how those impacts on growth to present a effective policies. Approach: We apply the bounds testing (ARDL) approach and to cointegration which is more appropriate for estimation in small sample studies. The data span for the study is from 1960-2006, the empirical results found a cointegration relations between Growth, monetary policy and fiscal policy in Iran. Results: The results indicated the impact of Exchange rate and inflation on growth was negative, government e

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

The Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Return Volatility: Evidence from Malaysia and Singapore

Jordan Ngu Chuan Yong, Sayyed Mahdi Ziaei, Kenneth Szulczyk · 2021 · Asian Economic and Financial Review

In this study, the volatility of two Asian stock markets, Bursa Malaysia and Singapore Exchange, is estimated. The analysis used data on daily closing prices of the indices of the respective stock markets between July 1, 2019 and August…

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Negative / Null Result ReportEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Deposit Insurance Creates a Need for Bank Regulation

Mark J. Flannery · 2026

Many bank managers and owners have long complained that they are over-regulated by a plethora of government agencies. The thrust of their complaint is that they could do a better job - i.e. become more profitable or increase their bank’s…

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

A Causality Analysis of Coal Consumption and Economic Growth for China and India

Jinke Li, Zhongxue Li · 2011 · Natural Resources

China and India are the two countries with the strongest economic growth in the world. Meanwhile they consume much of the global coal to fuel their economic development. With coal burning as a major factor contributing to global greenhouse gas emissions, China and India are confronted with a dilemma of economic growth and environment protection. Will coal consumption reduction cause economic shocks? Is there a causal relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in China and India? In this paper Granger causality tests were used to examine the relationship between coal consumption

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Negative / Null Result ReportOpen accessEconomics, Econometrics and Finance

Symmetric and Asymmetric Impact of Poverty, Income Inequality, and Population on Carbon Emission in Pakistan: New Evidence From ARDL and NARDL Co-Integration

Salim Khan, Wang Yahong · 2021 · Frontiers in Environmental Science

Several researchers have studied the relationship between poverty and environmental degradation, as these concerns are remained at top priority in achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, the symmetric and asymmetric impact of poverty and income inequality along with population and economic growth on carbon emissions (CO 2 e) has not been studied in the case of Pakistan. For this purpose, the short and long-run impact of poverty, income inequality, population, and GDP per capita on CO 2 e investigated by applying the Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) along with Non-linear

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