Magical thinking in predictions of negative events: Evidence for tempting fate but not for a protection effect
J. van Wolferen; Yoel Inbar; Marcel Zeelenberg · 2013 · Judgment and Decision Making
WASTE classifies this as Negative / Null Result Report · AI classification, approximate
The study found no significant effect — useful as a negative control or null benchmark for your own design.
Abstract
Abstract In this paper we test two hypotheses regarding magical thinking about the perceived likelihood of future events. The first is that people believe that those who “tempt fate” by failing to take necessary precautions are more likely to suffer negative outcomes. The second is the “protection effect”, where reminding people of precautions they have taken leads them to see related risks as less likely. To this end, we describe the results from three attempted direct replications of a protection effect experiment reported in Tykocinski (2008) and two replications of a tempting fate experime
Abstract by J. van Wolferen; Yoel Inbar; Marcel Zeelenberg, Judgment and Decision Making (2013) — licensed CC BY 4.0.
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Metadata source: OpenAlex · DOI 10.1017/s1930297500004496